Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
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Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%+ 87.6%
45%+ 63.5%
50%+ 53%
60%+ 19.6%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% May 20May 20May 20
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$139K Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • Resolver: official source.
  • Deadline: closing date in UTC.
  • Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
24h volume$224.63
Liquidity$2.3K
Outcomes4

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